Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.247142 0.272675 0.298875 0.327715 0.358516 0.390370 0.425751
2024-12-22 0.213894 0.249452 0.287349 0.330563 0.378290 0.429209 0.487459
2024-12-29 0.192954 0.236012 0.283399 0.339032 0.402159 0.471181 0.551959
2025-01-05 0.172700 0.220845 0.275421 0.341197 0.417640 0.503015 0.604892
2025-01-12 0.155380 0.207186 0.267550 0.342062 0.430528 0.531196 0.653362
2025-01-19 0.139609 0.193830 0.258688 0.340560 0.439696 0.554434 0.695794
2025-01-26 0.128389 0.184999 0.254351 0.343667 0.453707 0.582956 0.744272
2025-02-02 0.121332 0.180743 0.255084 0.352512 0.474351 0.619266 0.802124
2025-02-09 0.111781 0.172440 0.250033 0.353561 0.485002 0.643317 0.845264
2025-02-16 0.105487 0.167945 0.249429 0.359880 0.501966 0.674971 0.897716
2025-02-23 0.100945 0.165452 0.251137 0.368948 0.522295 0.710809 0.955513
2025-03-02 0.093173 0.157871 0.245578 0.368105 0.529676 0.730404 0.993290
2025-03-09 0.086707 0.151905 0.242103 0.370096 0.541023 0.755540 1.038885
2025-03-16 0.079674 0.144601 0.236354 0.368677 0.547684 0.774660 1.077039
2025-03-23 0.075795 0.141743 0.236616 0.375286 0.564876 0.807292 1.132481
2025-03-30 0.070522 0.136352 0.232939 0.376192 0.574301 0.829893 1.175293
2025-04-06 0.065471 0.130936 0.228904 0.376325 0.582502 0.850832 1.216045
2025-04-13 0.060252 0.124855 0.223544 0.374274 0.587501 0.867465 1.251251
2025-04-20 0.056767 0.121380 0.221876 0.377353 0.599456 0.893265 1.298477
2025-04-27 0.055059 0.120788 0.224522 0.386674 0.620124 0.930782 1.361280
2025-05-04 0.051520 0.116766 0.221649 0.387718 0.629120 0.952713 1.403764
2025-05-11 0.049498 0.115276 0.222636 0.394426 0.646110 0.985479 1.460749
2025-05-18 0.048234 0.115060 0.225594 0.404089 0.667367 1.024172 1.525871